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The fiber-optic revolution
is at the door. Two decades of cable-running have laid the
bones of a national high-speed data network. Now, an explosive
drive is under way to bring the long-awaited, last-mile fiber
connections to millions of businesses and homes.
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Capacity
Bottlenecks in the national network of optical-fiber are
falling away. (Photo courtesy of Corning
Optical Fiber) |
Analysts with network consulting
engineers Telcordia Technologies Inc., Piscataway, N.J., expect
the build-out to connect at least 33 million homes and cost
$45 billion to $50 billion over the next 10 to 15 years. Already
the campaign has spawned its own lingo. It is variously termed
Fiber To The Premises (FTTP), Fiber To The Community (FTTC)
and Fiber To The Home (FTTH). The prize is the "Triple
Crown"the consolidation of voice, high-speed data
and video delivery into the business of a single provider.
Established telephone companies,
the "incumbents," as they are called, are in the
lead, but they are not alone. Proponents of alternate broadband
delivery technologies, such as cable, city-wide wireless networks
and Broadband Over Power Lines (BPL), also are battling for
market share.
In a significant number of locales,
the municipal governments and regional authorities such as
water and sewer boards and electric and gas utilities are
designing networks and running their own fiber from node to
door. They want to see that their towns dont get left
behind, and they also want to capture revenue by wholeselling
access to their conduit and strategically placed fiber.
The political combatants say they
are building infrastructure for economic development, just
as they build roads and bridges and water systems to entice
business their way. They also say they are doing it because
their constituents are impatient for high-speed connections.
"Were fed up with waiting,"
says Roger Black, deputy director and COO of UTOPIA, the Utah
Telecommunications Open Infrastructure Agency, a 14-municipality
consortium thats now in the first phase of construction
of a $300-million FTTP rollout.
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Utopia
Consortium of Utah cities is building its own network.
(Photos courtesy of
Utopia Consortium) |
Turning the national backbone into
an FTTP system involves two steps. Fiber is extended from
the local communications centers down every street, past every
home. Then subscribers are solicited and linked up, one by
one. Verizon Communications, the largest incumbent with operations in 29 states, launched
its drive in earnest last summer in targeted markets, beginning
with Keller, Texas, near Dallas and Fort Worth. In 2004 it "passed"
1 million potential subscribers. In 2005 it plans to pass two
million more scattered over 12 states. The "take rate,"
or how fast subscriptions come in, will govern the pace of investment.
One analyst, KMI Research, forecasts that the rate will accelerate
and the FTTP market for equipment, cable and apparatus will
reach $3.2 billion in 2009.
Verizon plans to hire 3,000 to
5,000 new employees for the build-out by the end of 2005,
but it declines to say how much it is spending.
Telecom analysts say that an agreement,
about a year ago, among the biggest incumbentsVerizon,
Bell South and SBC Communicationsset the standards for
last-mile connections and triggered the expansion.
The selection of technology winners
is driving costs down and leading to standardized installation
practices. Verizon runs fiber to a splitter box on the outside
wall of homes and buildings and bridges to circuits of coaxial
cable, copper wire and ethernet inside. Other incumbents are
not going quite as far. They run fiber to neighborhood nodes
and conventional lines or wireless from there. That still
brings fiber close and significantly increases data speed.
Copper Versus Fiber
For the telecoms, there are several drivers, including lower
maintenance costs, scalability and margin. Maintaining old
copper is labor intensive. Upgrades are difficult, and analysts
say the old copper systems are drowning companies in expense.
And under the rules of deregulation, access to copper must
be shared with the competition. But, by FCC ruling last year,
access to fiber does not have to be shared. "We build
it; we own it," says Telcordia analyst Ernie Gallo. "If
we decide to lease it we can but we dont have to. Thats
why everybody is building."
Gallo says fiber-optic systems
are also robust, almost infinitely upgradable and considerably
cheaper to maintain. For the telecoms, making the transition
to fiber is "a no-brainer," he says.
"The fiber is much more expensive
to put in, but it lasts much longer, and there is no corrosion,
no problem with moisture or RF (radio frequency) interference."
Gallo says. Still, he adds, there are questions to resolve.
"Theyve got to place all this cable. How do we
build this out from the central office? How do I get it to
the house? Directional drilling? Sewer or gas lines? Construction
is going to be key to this."
The other powerful driver is demand.
Communities all over the country have made it clear, through
home-grown efforts to achieve broadband connectivity, that
they want it and they want it now.
"Up until this year, when
Verizon started its fiber-to-the-home roll-out, most of the
development has been in rural areas or brand new developments
by small, local carriers, public utilities and municipalities,"
says Robert Whitman, market development manager for global
broadband with Corning Optical Fiber, Corning, N.Y. "For
those folks the driver has been more economic development
and serving the community," he says.
Wireless networks are one alternative
technology attracting attention. Currently, more than 100
cities are planning or deploying them. Distributing data over
power lines is another alternative that has many municipally
owned power companies and investor-owned utilities trying
to work out the case for BPL. Click
here to view chart
Other local governments are simply
building out the last mile the hard way. They are stringing
fiber from trunk-line nodes to businesses and homes any way they can. Often they piggy-back
on their existing infrastructurerural telephone and
power distribution networks, highway rights-of-way and utility
mains.
Contracts are flying, but cell
phone providers, cable companies and telecoms whine that municipalities
shouldnt spend tax revenue to compete. Lawyers and lobbyists
are pushing legislative proposals to severely restrain public
construction and operation of fiber, BPL or wireless infrastructure.
Blocking legislation is under consideration in Colorado, Florida,
Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Nebraska, Ohio, Oregon, Tennessee,
Texas and Virginia, according to Washington, D.C.-based American
Public Power Association. Lawsuits are also being used in
attempts to derail funding.
Despite legal challenges, the momentum
is growing. Engineers and contractors are benefitting and
getting creative at threading it all together.
Hard Going in Big Easy
In New Orleans, officials are fitting an FTTP project within
an ongoing, $600-million overhaul of the citys sewer
collection system. Program manager Montgomery Watson Harza,
Broomfield, Colo., is ready to start local Boh Bros Construction
Co. LLC on the first phase of a $5.5-million, 26,500-ft sewer
main replacement project in the central business district.
The job includes laying conduit for fiber-optic cable to businesses
at the same time.
The city sewerage and water board
will lease the conduit, which will offer broadband service
providers dedicated runs to about 80 key buildings. It hopes
to gain not only ultra-high-speed connectivity for the heart
of its business district, but also a revenue stream where
only sewage ran before.
The last hitch in project negotiations
has not been between the contractor and client, but between
the city council and the sewerage and water board over dividing
anticipated revenue.
The installation technique is patented
by Renaissance Integrated Solutions, Armonk, N.Y. "Its
a take-off on pipe-bursting technology, which we are using
all over the country for rehabbing sanitary sewers,"
says Marty Dorward, head of MWHs project in New Orleans.
This first full-scale implementation will use a pipe-bursting
head to shatter the 50 to 100-year-old, 8-in. vitrified clay
mains and pull in a 10-in. replacement line ringed with eight
11Ú4-in. high-density polyethelyne conduits on the outside.
Four conduits are reserved for a municipal loop and the rest
are for laterals. A junction box beside each sewer manhole
gives access to the conduit, keeping the parallel systems
segregated. Boxes at the property lines by each lateral are
for connections to the buildings.
Dorward says MWH expects to get
notice to proceed in April and finish in October. Bids for
the second, 18,000-ft phase are to be let in May, but work
on the rest of the citys 7-million-ft system will go
on much longer. "Theyre studying the entire system,"
Dorward says. "I think its boiling down to rehabbing
about 30%. If this works in the central business district
there is potential for expanding it."
Click
here to view rendering
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Piggy-Back
Renaissance pipe-bursting system marries conduit to replacement
lines. (Photos courtesy of Renaissance Integrated Solutions) |
Earlier approaches that used robots
to run and attach fiber inside sewer lines have failed to
catch on. "Part of the problem has been to get the sewer
utilities to buy in," says Dorward. The co-location of
the services, "makes utility operators nervous,"
he says. Also, in pilots, pipe conditions were often worse
than anticipated and difficulties with user-side connections
left most trials stuck in the demonstration phase.
If the New Orleans installation
succeeds a similar project in San Francisco may follow. Several
members of San Franciscos Board of Supervisors are pushing
to include broadband cable in a planned, city-wide water and
sewer upgrade. But John Brittona, spokesman for local incumbent
SBC, argues that fiber is not needed because there is "already
unused fiber capacity." Nevertheless, the citys
budget for the fiscal year beginning July 1 includes $300,000
for a feasibility study. The Public Utilities Commission is
expected on March 8 to call for proposals. The study should
be finished by years end.
One local government advantage
over privately funded FTTH is that governments can finance
with community development grants and long-term financing
and not worry about satisfying investors by showing profits
in three to five years. Many of the BPL initiatives being
piloted by rural and municipal power utilities are taking
advantage of that. Like sewer and water utilities, they are
trying to leverage existing infrastructure to create a new
revenue stream.
Manassas, Va., is often cited as
a BPL success story. It has the countrys only commercial
BPL deployment. John Hewa, utilities director for the Manassas
Electric Dept., says the city, with a population of 36,000
people and 15,000 electric customers, issued a long-term franchise
for BPL Internet services to Communication Technologies Inc.,
Chantilly, Va. The city installed and maintains the BPL equipment
and backhaul with its own forces. COMTek supplies the equipment
and receives part of the revenue.
Currently in the middle of a year-long
deployment, the Manassas system has 300 customers. "We
hope at some point for 10 to 15% market share," or about
1,500 customers, Hewa says. "Deployment will be complete
in a couple of months."
COMTek is bearing about 75% of
the cost, says Hewa. The city handles marketing, billing,
customer support, service and content. He calls the investment
worthwhile. One side advantage of BPL is that it enables highly
sophisticated system control. "It will be the back plane
for any user services," Hewa says.
Others, however, arent sold.
Tom Asp, a partner with CPA and technology consultant Virchow,
Krause & Co., Chicago, dismisses the example of Manassas,
pointing out "they have less than 500 customers after
two years," and a backlog of more than 2,000 customers.
He is also unimpressed with BPL technology. "It hasnt
changed much in the past 30 years," he says. "The
physics are the same, but with different frequency. The issues
are the same as 20 years ago," costly hardware and equipment
to maintain signal strength. "Youre better off
looking at a wireless system because BPL is still in pilot,"
he says. "There are a handful of vendors, no standards
and real questions about interference."
Corning Opticals Whitman
also doesnt see BPL as a major contender. "The
capability is, at best, on par with DSL and cable modems,"
he says. "Because its a little behind, the technology
is not going to catch up. It kind of missed its calling. If
you could pay for it by doing meter readings and system controls
it might still develop, but it wont become a serious
challenge in the broadband service provider market."
It is the fiber networks that will
dominate and most of what people will do with all the data
transmission capacity has yet to be imagined, he predicts.
Officials in Fontana, Calif., for instance, have one novel
idea. The $100-million FTTC network they hope to start building
this fall will not be leased to any one vendor. Rather, it
will work as an "open-access system," delivering
the signals of competing vendors so Fontana residents can
choose between them. |